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Pokemon Go catch tips: Chances of arrest on the basis of the ball, throw accuracy and berries

The basic premise of Pokemon Go is to capture Pokemon, so you may give yourself the best photo opportunity.

The basic premise of Pokemon Go is to capture Pokemon, so you may give yourself the best photo opportunity.

How throwing Pokeballs determines the probability of capture. Different Pokémon will be more difficult than others depending on their strength and rarity.

However, there are certain types of throws, their accuracy, the ball you use, and the use of berries, all of which increase the player's chances of getting a Pokemon.
Let's go to see how each of these affects the odds of capturing Pokemon. All the possibilities listed below compare using Pokeball with a straight throw and without the precision bonus.

Kind of throw

There are two ways to throw Pokeball which will produce one of four different levels of accuracy. First, you can throw a straight ball or a curveball, as it is difficult for the last ball to get a greater success rate.

Ball curve: 1.7x - 70% increase


Multiplier accuracy

Depending on the accuracy and timing, each throw will be either normal, nice, wonderful or excellent. Both of these are increasingly adding to the opportunity to pick up. The improved probabilities for these are as follows but actually depend on the radius of the circle and are therefore set:

  • Nice throw: 1x to 1.3x - 0% to 30% increase
  • Large throw: 1.3x to 1.7x - 30% to 70% increase
  • Excellent throw: from 1.7x to 2x - 70% to 100% increase


Pokeball changes the possibilities

There is a reason called the Great Ball and Ultra as such. The increased possibilities are somewhat important:
  • Great ball: 1.5x - 50% increase
  • Ultra Paul: 1.5x to 2x - 50% to 100% increase


Use berries to get an extra boost

Like Pokeballs, using Berries is another way to increase the odds by simply tapping the screen. There are two berries that enhance your chances of picking up - Razz Berry and Golden Razz Berry - the possibilities are as follows:
  • Razz Berry: 1.5x - 50% increase
  • Golden Raz Berry: 2.5x - 150% increase
The basic premise of Pokemon Go is to capture Pokemon, so you may give yourself the best photo opportunity.
It is likely to pick up Pokemon Ultra Balls like standard Pokeballs.

What does all this mean?

All of these factors can be combined to dramatically increase your chances of capturing a particular Pokemon. 

The likes of Pidgey and Rattata can often be discovered by just throwing a normal Pokeball but they face a legendary Pokemon command that takes some time to make your throw accurate, using Ultra Ball and/or some form of berry.

If we give a normal Pokeball throw, thrown in a straight line without using berries or any precision bonuses, and index number 1 then we can compare it to other different combinations.

The easiest way to increase the odds of each throw is by using a curveball. It is not a difficult skill to control, and when you do it enough times, it will become second nature.

It is also not difficult to hit nice and large throws down while doing so. For this example though, we'll use a nice throw. In addition, we'll use a great ball. 

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These elements will combine to give you a greater chance of taking pictures by 3.31x (221%) - already showing you the importance of complications.

If we put everything in our favor - using Ultra Ball, throwing a curve, Golden Razz Berry, and excellent accuracy - this will give you 14.45x a chance to succeed, equivalent to 1345%.

Raspberries, especially those of the Golden variety and higher Pokeballs level, can be a rare resource in Pokemon Go, so use it accordingly. Throwing a curveball and doing it accurately can be done in every throw.

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